The last few days of September are upon us and by mid-week, POOF, October shows up.
Many associate October with the real season of “change” (which means nothing this time of year, as political warfare has neutralized the effectiveness of this word…) – a change in the length of the days, a change in the humidity, a change in the amount of rain we see, etc.
And while all those things are true in most respects (and have a positive association with the weather across the area), we must not forget about the ugly face this month can bring us in terms of tropical weather. As we’ve reminded you in the past, moving into October does not mean “it’s over.” In fact, sometimes it means, “it’s closer!” Closer meaning the possibility of storms brewing up NEARBY versus storms we can track across the Atlantic or Caribbean before they get near us.
During this month the Gulf, Caribbean and nearby Atlantic waters take on a higher percentage risk area of tropical genesis, so we cannot let our guard down. It only takes a weak frontal boundary, some light wind shear and a cluster or two of thunderstorms to strike up our next named system.
A few computer models hint at some activity in the coming days…but with no certainty, we always just keep watching.
My point here is that it’s not over. Not yet. Flipping the calendar brings us one step closer but we’re not to the finish line just yet. Remember “Wilma”…OCT 24th, 2005…a late-season knock-out punch to what was already a record breaking season.
Wilma: A 5 hour trek across South Florida.
